Prediction Failure of a Wolf Landscape Model

نویسنده

  • L. David Mech
چکیده

I compared 101 wolf (Canis lupus) pack territories formed in Wisconsin during 1993–2004 to the logistic regression predictive model of Mladenoff et al. (1995, 1997, 1999). Of these, 60% were located in putative habitat suitabilities ,50%, including 22% in suitabilities of 0–9%. About a third of the area with putative suitabilities .50% remained unoccupied by known packs after 24 years of recolonization. This model was a poor predictor of wolf re-colonizing locations in Wisconsin, apparently because it failed to consider the adaptability of wolves. Such models should be used cautiously in wolf-management or restoration plans. (WILDLIFE SOCIETY BULLETIN 34(3):874–877; 2006)

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تاریخ انتشار 2015